Projections! Predictions! Aint nothing but a projection party! Nothing but a prediction party! Yes it’s that time of the year for predictions. USA Today already released theirs, now it’s time for Pecota to release theirs as well. Pecota’s 2016 projections are out and they have the Dodgers winning the NL West by a mile. Well more like seven games over the Giants. Pectoa has the Dodgers finishing 94-68 and the Giants in second place at 87-75. This seems more realistic. However there were a couple of strange predictions this season.
|0||Los Angeles Dodgers||Hitters: Feb 15
Pitchers: Jan 25
|0||San Francisco Giants||Hitters: Feb 15
Pitchers: Feb 15
|0||Arizona D-backs||Hitters: Feb 14
Pitchers: Feb 14
|0||San Diego Padres||Hitters: Feb 15
Pitchers: Feb 15
|0||Colorado Rockies||Hitters: Feb 15
Pitchers: Feb 9
For one they picked the defending world champion Kansas City Royals to finish dead last in the AL Central. I have no idea why, but they think the Cleveland Indians to win that division. Although it seems like the Indians are always being picked in the preseason to win and never actually do. Sorry long suffering Cleveland fans, I hope Pecota is right for your sake. We’re just as suffering actually. Our World Series drought is now 28 years.
The Cubs are favorites to win the NL Central with a 92-70 record. The strange part of their prediction is that the Pirates and Cardinals will not make the playoffs. Pecota thinks that the Pittsburgh will finish with 83 wins, and the Cardinals with 82 wins. The Mets are NL East winners again but by a very slim margin over the Nationals.
And where oh where are the Dbacks? They’re projected to win 78 games and finish in third place. Zack Greinke or not, Pecota projections are not impressed with the Dbacks.
If these projections are correct it would mean that the Dodgers, Cubs, and Mets are division winners with the Giants and Nationals as the two wild cards. What’s interesting here is that the Dodgers are expected to lead the National League with the least amount of runs allowed. The Dodgers according to Pecota are first in runs allowed (592) and second in runs scored (712) with a 12.3 FRAA (fielding runs above average) which places them with the third best defense in the National League.